Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultQuilmes to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceQuilmes or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.52
Quilmes vs Agropecuario preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Quilmes take on Agropecuario on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes. Quilmes are 13th with 45 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Agropecuario sit 12th on 46 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Quilmes's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Tristan Suarez 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Agropecuario's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Midland 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Agropecuario 0–0 Quilmes.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Quilmes and 0.4 for Agropecuario. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Quilmes to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Quilmes 1–0 Agropecuario. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Quilmes64%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.10
Agropecuario15%fair 6.56 · @4.80
1.84Expected goals
1.39Quilmes xG
0.45Agropecuario xG
45%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Quilmes 1.4 – 0.4 Agropecuario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Quilmes vs Agropecuario?
Our pick is Quilmes to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Quilmes vs Agropecuario?
On our numbers Quilmes have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Agropecuario 15%.
How many goals will there be in Quilmes vs Agropecuario?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Quilmes vs Agropecuario?
Our predicted score is Quilmes 1–0 Agropecuario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Quilmes vs Agropecuario?
Quilmes vs Agropecuario (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
