Value bet: Chacarita Juniors to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChacarita Juniors to win ✗37% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.03
Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors preview and prediction
The match
Chacarita Juniors travel to Estadio Tres de Febrero in the Primera Nacional on Saturday 10 October (19:30 WAT) to face Almagro. Almagro are 15th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Chacarita Juniors sit 14th on 42 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Almagro's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat San Martin S.J. 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Chacarita Juniors's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Patronato 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Chacarita Juniors 1–0 Almagro.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Almagro and 1.0 for Chacarita Juniors. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Value angle: Chacarita Juniors to win at 3.10 – 37% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.93, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Almagro 1–1 Chacarita Juniors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almagro36%fair 2.79 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.70
Chacarita Juniors37%fair 2.71 · @3.10
1.92Expected goals
0.95Almagro xG
0.97Chacarita Juniors xG
52%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–114%
1–014%
1–114%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Almagro 1.0 – 1.0 Chacarita Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors?
On our numbers Almagro have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Chacarita Juniors 37%.
How many goals will there be in Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our predicted score is Almagro 1–1 Chacarita Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors?
Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tres de Febrero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
