Value bet: Colegiales to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultColegiales to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.80
Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Colegiales take on Tristan Suarez on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio de Colegiales. Colegiales are 7th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Tristan Suarez sit 1st on 64 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Colegiales's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Club Atlético Güemes 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tristan Suarez's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Quilmes 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.0 for Colegiales and 0.8 for Tristan Suarez. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Colegiales to win at 2.50 – 43% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Colegiales 0–0 Tristan Suarez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colegiales43%fair 2.33 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.60
Tristan Suarez32%fair 3.17 · @3.10
1.72Expected goals
0.96Colegiales xG
0.76Tristan Suarez xG
47%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Colegiales 1.0 – 0.8 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colegiales to win✗
43%
2.33
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.80
–
Form
Colegiales – last 6
WWLWLW
4 Oct
@ Club Atlético Güemes
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Chacarita Juniors
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ San Martin S.J.
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Nueva Chicago
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Temperley
1–3
L
3 Sep
vs Midland
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tristan Suarez – last 6
DWDDDW
3 Oct
vs Quilmes
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Midland
1–0
W
21 Sep
vs Atlanta
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ San Martin S.J.
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs San Martin Tucuman
2–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colegiales and Tristan Suarez.
What is the prediction for Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez?
On our numbers Colegiales have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tristan Suarez 32%.
How many goals will there be in Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez?
Our predicted score is Colegiales 0–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez?
Colegiales vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Colegiales.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
