Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Ferro Carril Oeste to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFerro Carril Oeste to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chanceFerro Carril Oeste or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓23% · fair 4.38
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Ferro Carril Oeste take on Ciudad de Bolívar on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry. Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd with 66 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Ciudad de Bolívar sit 7th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ferro Carril Oeste's last 5: DDDWW Most recently they drew with Almirante Brown 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ciudad de Bolívar's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Central Norte 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Ferro Carril Oeste arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Ferro Carril Oeste and 0.4 for Ciudad de Bolívar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ferro Carril Oeste 67%, draw 23%, Ciudad de Bolívar 11%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ferro Carril Oeste to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Ciudad de Bolívar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ferro Carril Oeste67%fair 1.50 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.20
Ciudad de Bolívar11%fair 9.38 · @5.50
1.88Expected goals
1.49Ferro Carril Oeste xG
0.39Ciudad de Bolívar xG
46%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
2–017%
0–015%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ferro Carril Oeste 1.5 – 0.4 Ciudad de Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferro Carril Oeste to win✓
67%
1.50
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Ferro Carril Oeste or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferro Carril Oeste / FT Ferro Carril Oeste✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
23%
4.38
–
Form
Ferro Carril Oeste – last 6
DDDWWW
13 Sep
@ Almirante Brown
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Atletico Mitre
0–0
D
30 Aug
@ CA Estudiantes
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs All Boys
1–0
W
15 Aug
vs Atlanta
3–1
W
9 Aug
@ Los Andes
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ciudad de Bolívar – last 6
DLWDLL
12 Sep
vs Central Norte
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Deportivo Madryn
1–3
L
29 Aug
vs Defensores De Belgrano
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Racing Cordoba
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Agropecuario
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Almirante Brown
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferro Carril Oeste and Ciudad de Bolívar.
What is the prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
Our pick is Ferro Carril Oeste to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
On our numbers Ferro Carril Oeste have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ciudad de Bolívar 11%.
How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
Our predicted score is Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Ciudad de Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Ciudad de Bolívar (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.