Primera Nacional · Argentina · La Quema StadiumAcassuso vs Atletico Mitre prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Value bet: Atletico Mitre to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Acassuso 0.9 – 1.0 Atletico Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Acassuso and Atletico Mitre on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Acassuso have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 1.0 per game. Atletico Mitre have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. Atletico Mitre come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.0 goals (0.9 for Acassuso, 1.0 for Atletico Mitre). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–0 (14%), 1–1 (14%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.94. For a bigger price, Atletico Mitre to win at 3.00 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Atletico Mitre to win ✗ | 39% | 2.56 | 3.00 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.94 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.47 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 22% | 4.54 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.03 | – |
Form
Acassuso – last 6
| 13 Sep | @ CA Estudiantes | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sep | vs All Boys | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | @ Los Andes | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Aug | vs San Telmo | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Godoy Cruz | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Aug | vs Midland | 1–1 | D |
Atletico Mitre – last 6
| 13 Sep | vs Chaco For Ever | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sep | @ Ferro Carril Oeste | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Central Norte | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Aug | @ Deportivo Madryn | 0–4 | L |
| 15 Aug | vs Club Atlético Güemes | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | vs Defensores De Belgrano | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Acassuso and Atletico Mitre.
Primera Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Godoy Cruz | 36 | +20 | 66 |
| 2 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 36 | +7 | 66 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Moron | 36 | +16 | 61 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 36 | +21 | 60 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 36 | +18 | 60 |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 36 | +4 | 51 |
| 7 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 36 | -3 | 51 |
| 8 |  CA Estudiantes | 36 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 |  Chaco For Ever | 36 | +2 | 46 |
| 10 |  Los Andes | 36 | +1 | 43 |
| 11 |  All Boys | 36 | -8 | 41 |
| 12 |  San Telmo | 36 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Atletico Mitre | 36 | -11 | 40 |
| 14 |  Racing Cordoba | 36 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 36 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 |  Central Norte | 36 | -9 | 38 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 36 | -10 | 35 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 36 | -15 | 33 |
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Almagro1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre?
On our numbers Acassuso have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico Mitre 39%.
How many goals will there be in Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre?
Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at La Quema Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.