Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 6 Sep 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultDeportivo Madryn to win ✓66% · @1.70

Double chanceDeportivo Madryn or draw ✓89% · @1.14

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.55

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.80

Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar preview and prediction

The match

The Primera Nacional sees Deportivo Madryn take on Ciudad de Bolívar on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Abel Sastre. Deportivo Madryn are 4th with 60 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Ciudad de Bolívar sit 7th on 51 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Deportivo Madryn's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Almirante Brown 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Ciudad de Bolívar's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Defensores De Belgrano 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Deportivo Madryn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for Deportivo Madryn and 0.4 for Ciudad de Bolívar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Deportivo Madryn 66%, draw 22%, Ciudad de Bolívar 11%.
Safer route: Deportivo Madryn or draw (89%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.55.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Madryn to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Madryn 1–0 Ciudad de Bolívar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Deportivo Madryn66%fair 1.51 · @1.70

Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10

Ciudad de Bolívar11%fair 8.86 · @5.50

2.02Expected goals

1.57Deportivo Madryn xG

0.45Ciudad de Bolívar xG

43%Both score

33%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–021%

2–016%

0–013%

1–19%

3–09%

2–17%

From our goals model: Deportivo Madryn 1.6 – 0.4 Ciudad de Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Deportivo Madryn to win ✓	66%	1.51	1.70 ▲
Double chance	Deportivo Madryn or draw ✓	89%	1.13	1.14
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	57%	1.76	1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	60%	1.67	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	85%	1.17	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	47%	2.13	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Deportivo Madryn / FT Deportivo Madryn ✗	40%	2.48	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	21%	4.80	–

Form

Deportivo Madryn – last 6

LWWDWW

30 Aug	@ Almirante Brown	0–1	L
25 Aug	vs Godoy Cruz	2–0	W
21 Aug	vs Atletico Mitre	4–0	W
16 Aug	@ San Martin Tucuman	2–2	D
8 Aug	@ CA Estudiantes	1–0	W
2 Aug	vs All Boys	2–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Ciudad de Bolívar – last 6

WDLLLW

29 Aug	vs Defensores De Belgrano	1–0	W
23 Aug	vs Racing Cordoba	1–1	D
15 Aug	@ Agropecuario	0–1	L
8 Aug	@ Almirante Brown	0–2	L
2 Aug	vs Atletico Mitre	0–2	L
25 Jul	@ CA Estudiantes	2–1	W

0.7Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

33%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

Our pick is Deportivo Madryn to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

On our numbers Deportivo Madryn have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ciudad de Bolívar 11%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Madryn 1–0 Ciudad de Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar?

Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abel Sastre.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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