Value bet: Gimnasia Y Tiro to win @ 2.62 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimnasia Y Tiro to win ✓44% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.35
Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Club Atlético Güemes take on Gimnasia Y Tiro on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda. Club Atlético Güemes are 18th with 27 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Gimnasia Y Tiro sit 8th on 52 points (in the top half). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Club Atlético Güemes's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with San Martin Tucuman 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Gimnasia Y Tiro's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Chacarita Juniors 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gimnasia Y Tiro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 April 2026, finished Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–1 Club Atlético Güemes.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Club Atlético Güemes and 1.2 for Gimnasia Y Tiro. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Atlético Güemes 32%, draw 24%, Gimnasia Y Tiro 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Gimnasia Y Tiro to win at 2.62 – 44% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.20, above our fair price of 1.93, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Club Atlético Güemes 1–1 Gimnasia Y Tiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Atlético Güemes32%fair 3.15 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.80
Gimnasia Y Tiro44%fair 2.26 · @2.62
2.20Expected goals
0.98Club Atlético Güemes xG
1.22Gimnasia Y Tiro xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Club Atlético Güemes 1.0 – 1.2 Gimnasia Y Tiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
On our numbers Club Atlético Güemes have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnasia Y Tiro 44%.
How many goals will there be in Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Our predicted score is Club Atlético Güemes 1–1 Gimnasia Y Tiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro?
Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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