Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Agropecuario or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Agropecuario to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAgropecuario to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceAgropecuario or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.25
Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela preview and prediction
The match
Agropecuario host Atletico DE Rafaela in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 6 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Ofelia Rosenzuaig. Agropecuario are 12th with 46 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Atletico DE Rafaela sit 11th on 47 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Agropecuario's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Gimnasia Jujuy 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Atletico DE Rafaela's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Tristan Suarez 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Atletico DE Rafaela 4–1 Agropecuario.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Agropecuario and 0.4 for Atletico DE Rafaela. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Agropecuario 63%, draw 23%, Atletico DE Rafaela 14%.
Safer route: Agropecuario or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Agropecuario to win at 1.95 – 63% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Agropecuario or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Agropecuario 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Agropecuario63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.88
Atletico DE Rafaela14%fair 7.39 · @4.40
1.74Expected goals
1.34Agropecuario xG
0.40Atletico DE Rafaela xG
44%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–018%
2–016%
1–19%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Agropecuario 1.3 – 0.4 Atletico DE Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Our pick is Agropecuario or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
On our numbers Agropecuario have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico DE Rafaela 14%.
How many goals will there be in Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Our predicted score is Agropecuario 1–0 Atletico DE Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Ofelia Rosenzuaig.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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