Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMidland to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceMidland or draw ✓89% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.30
Midland vs Nueva Chicago preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Midland take on Nueva Chicago on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium. Midland are 5th with 55 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Nueva Chicago sit 17th on 37 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Midland's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Temperley 1–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Nueva Chicago's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Atlanta 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Midland arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Nueva Chicago 2–2 Midland.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Midland and 0.4 for Nueva Chicago. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Midland 64%, draw 25%, Nueva Chicago 11%.
Safer route: Midland or draw (89%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Midland to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Midland 1–0 Nueva Chicago. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Midland64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.00
Nueva Chicago11%fair 8.91 · @5.00
1.80Expected goals
1.41Midland xG
0.39Nueva Chicago xG
44%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–017%
2–016%
1–19%
3–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Midland 1.4 – 0.4 Nueva Chicago expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Midland vs Nueva Chicago?
Our pick is Midland to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Midland vs Nueva Chicago?
On our numbers Midland have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nueva Chicago 11%.
How many goals will there be in Midland vs Nueva Chicago?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Midland vs Nueva Chicago?
Our predicted score is Midland 1–0 Nueva Chicago, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Midland vs Nueva Chicago?
Midland vs Nueva Chicago (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ciudad de Bolívar1
Defensores De Belgrano0