Value bet: Tristan Suarez to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico DE Rafaela to win ✓37% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.92
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez preview and prediction
The match
Atletico DE Rafaela host Tristan Suarez in the Primera Nacional on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental. Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th with 47 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Tristan Suarez sit 1st on 64 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico DE Rafaela's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Club Atlético Güemes 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tristan Suarez's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Agropecuario 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tristan Suarez arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 April 2026, finished Tristan Suarez 0–0 Atletico DE Rafaela.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.8 for Atletico DE Rafaela and 0.7 for Tristan Suarez. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 80% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Tristan Suarez to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Atletico DE Rafaela 0–0 Tristan Suarez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico DE Rafaela37%fair 2.70 · @2.50
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.60
Tristan Suarez35%fair 2.84 · @3.20
1.53Expected goals
0.78Atletico DE Rafaela xG
0.75Tristan Suarez xG
46%Both score
20%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Atletico DE Rafaela 0.8 – 0.7 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez?
On our numbers Atletico DE Rafaela have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Tristan Suarez 35%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 20% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez?
Our predicted score is Atletico DE Rafaela 0–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez?
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ciudad de Bolívar1
Defensores De Belgrano0