Value bet: Deportivo Maipu to win @ 3.90 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultColegiales to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.27
Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Colegiales take on Deportivo Maipu on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio de Colegiales. Colegiales are 7th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Maipu sit 6th on 52 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Colegiales's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Almagro 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Deportivo Maipu's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Quilmes 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Colegiales and 1.0 for Deportivo Maipu. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Value angle: Deportivo Maipu to win at 3.90 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Colegiales 1–0 Deportivo Maipu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colegiales43%fair 2.34 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.80
Deportivo Maipu33%fair 3.08 · @3.90
2.14Expected goals
1.17Colegiales xG
0.97Deportivo Maipu xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Colegiales 1.2 – 1.0 Deportivo Maipu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colegiales to win✓
43%
2.34
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colegiales / FT Colegiales✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.27
–
Form
Colegiales – last 6
DLDWWL
22 Aug
@ Almagro
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ San Miguel
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs Patronato
2–2
D
1 Aug
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Quilmes
1–0
W
14 Jul
@ Atlanta
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Maipu – last 6
WWLWLD
23 Aug
vs Quilmes
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Godoy Cruz
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Midland
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Atlanta
4–2
W
26 Jul
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colegiales and Deportivo Maipu.
What is the prediction for Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu?
On our numbers Colegiales have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Maipu 33%.
How many goals will there be in Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our predicted score is Colegiales 1–0 Deportivo Maipu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu?
Colegiales vs Deportivo Maipu (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Colegiales.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ciudad de Bolívar1
Defensores De Belgrano0