Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTristan Suarez to win ✗59% · @1.62
Double chanceTristan Suarez or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.65
Tristan Suarez vs Almagro preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Tristan Suarez take on Almagro on Saturday 6 June, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio 20 de Octubre. Tristan Suarez are 1st with 64 points from 36 games (top of the table), while Almagro sit 15th on 42 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tristan Suarez's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Patronato 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Almagro's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Club Atlético Güemes 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for Tristan Suarez and 0.5 for Almagro. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Tristan Suarez to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Tristan Suarez 1–0 Almagro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tristan Suarez59%fair 1.68 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.20
Almagro17%fair 5.82 · @6.50
1.80Expected goals
1.30Tristan Suarez xG
0.50Almagro xG
46%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Tristan Suarez 1.3 – 0.5 Almagro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tristan Suarez to win✗
59%
1.68
1.62
Double chance
Tristan Suarez or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tristan Suarez / FT Tristan Suarez✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.65
–
Form
Tristan Suarez – last 6
DWDDLW
31 May
@ Patronato
1–1
D
17 May
@ Quilmes
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ San Martin Tucuman
0–0
D
14 Apr
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Sarmiento Junin
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Almagro – last 6
WLLWDL
31 May
vs Club Atlético Güemes
2–0
W
24 May
@ Chacarita Juniors
0–1
L
17 May
vs San Martin S.J.
1–2
L
11 May
@ Nueva Chicago
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Midland
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tristan Suarez and Almagro.
What is the prediction for Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?
Our pick is Tristan Suarez to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?
On our numbers Tristan Suarez have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Almagro 17%.
How many goals will there be in Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?
Our predicted score is Tristan Suarez 1–0 Almagro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?
Tristan Suarez vs Almagro (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.