Value bet: Atletico DE Rafaela to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico DE Rafaela to win ✓57% · @1.91
Double chanceAtletico DE Rafaela or draw ✓79% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 4.94
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Colegiales preview and prediction
The match
Colegiales travel to Estadio Nuevo Monumental in the Primera Nacional on Saturday 6 June (20:30 WAT) to face Atletico DE Rafaela. Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th with 47 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Colegiales sit 7th on 52 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Atletico DE Rafaela's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Quilmes 0–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Colegiales's last 4: DDWL Most recently they drew with Agropecuario 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.3 for Atletico DE Rafaela and 0.6 for Colegiales. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico DE Rafaela 57%, draw 22%, Colegiales 21%.
Safer route: Atletico DE Rafaela or draw (79%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Atletico DE Rafaela to win at 1.91 – 57% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Atletico DE Rafaela 1–0 Colegiales. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico DE Rafaela57%fair 1.75 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @2.90
Colegiales21%fair 4.76 · @4.33
1.82Expected goals
1.25Atletico DE Rafaela xG
0.57Colegiales xG
47%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–016%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Atletico DE Rafaela 1.3 – 0.6 Colegiales expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico DE Rafaela to win✓
57%
1.75
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Atletico DE Rafaela or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico DE Rafaela / FT Atletico DE Rafaela✓
31%
3.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
20%
4.94
–
Form
Atletico DE Rafaela – last 6
LLWDLD
31 May
@ Quilmes
0–2
L
3 May
@ San Martin Tucuman
1–2
L
21 Apr
vs Agropecuario
4–1
W
14 Apr
@ Tristan Suarez
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Club Atlético Güemes
1–2
L
30 Mar
@ Defensores De Belgrano
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Colegiales – last 4
DDWL
30 May
vs Agropecuario
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs San Miguel
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Atlanta
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico DE Rafaela and Colegiales.
What is the prediction for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Colegiales?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Atletico DE Rafaela vs Colegiales?
On our numbers Atletico DE Rafaela have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Colegiales 21%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Colegiales?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Colegiales?
Our predicted score is Atletico DE Rafaela 1–0 Colegiales, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Colegiales?
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Colegiales (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Los Andes0
CA Estudiantes0
Acassuso2
Central Norte1