Value bet: Central Norte to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAcassuso to win ✓37% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗65% · fair 1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.86
Acassuso vs Central Norte preview and prediction
The match
Acassuso host Central Norte in the Primera Nacional on Saturday 6 June, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at La Quema Stadium. Acassuso are 17th with 35 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Central Norte sit 16th on 38 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Acassuso's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Deportivo Madryn 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Central Norte's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Chaco For Ever 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.5 goals: 0.8 for Acassuso and 0.7 for Central Norte. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 80% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Acassuso 37%, draw 29%, Central Norte 34%.
Value angle: Central Norte to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Either team to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Acassuso 1–0 Central Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Acassuso37%fair 2.70 · @2.60
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.55
Central Norte34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
1.53Expected goals
0.79Acassuso xG
0.74Central Norte xG
35%Both score
20%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–022%
1–017%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Acassuso 0.8 – 0.7 Central Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Acassuso to win✓
37%
2.70
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.86
–
Form
Acassuso – last 6
DWLLWL
31 May
@ Deportivo Madryn
0–0
D
24 May
vs Defensores De Belgrano
1–0
W
22 Apr
vs Gimnasia L.P.
0–3
L
9 Apr
@ Midland
0–1
L
30 Mar
@ Newells Old Boys
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Colon Santa Fe
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Central Norte – last 6
DLWWDL
31 May
vs Chaco For Ever
1–1
D
24 May
@ Ferro Carril Oeste
0–1
L
16 May
@ Racing Cordoba
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Colon Santa Fe
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ San Miguel
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Acassuso and Central Norte.
What is the prediction for Acassuso vs Central Norte?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Acassuso vs Central Norte?
On our numbers Acassuso have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Central Norte 34%.
How many goals will there be in Acassuso vs Central Norte?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 20% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Acassuso vs Central Norte?
Our predicted score is Acassuso 1–0 Central Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Acassuso vs Central Norte?
Acassuso vs Central Norte (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at La Quema Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.