Value bet: Deportivo Madryn to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Madryn to win ✗38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.60
San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Madryn travel to Estadio Osvaldo Baletto in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 7 June (19:00 WAT) to face San Telmo. San Telmo are 12th with 41 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Madryn sit 4th on 60 points (in the top four). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Telmo's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Defensores De Belgrano 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Deportivo Madryn's last 5: DWLDL Most recently they drew with Acassuso 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Deportivo Madryn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for San Telmo and 1.1 for Deportivo Madryn. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Telmo 35%, draw 27%, Deportivo Madryn 38%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Deportivo Madryn to win at 2.88 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: San Telmo 0–1 Deportivo Madryn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Telmo35%fair 2.84 · @2.62
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.75
Deportivo Madryn38%fair 2.65 · @2.88
2.10Expected goals
1.03San Telmo xG
1.07Deportivo Madryn xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: San Telmo 1.0 – 1.1 Deportivo Madryn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Madryn to win✗
38%
2.65
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.60
–
Form
San Telmo – last 4
LLLD
30 May
@ Defensores De Belgrano
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Deportivo Moron
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Quilmes
0–3
L
22 Feb
@ Chaco For Ever
2–2
D
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Madryn – last 6
DWLDLL
31 May
vs Acassuso
0–0
D
24 May
@ Chaco For Ever
2–1
W
17 May
vs Ferro Carril Oeste
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs San Martin Tucuman
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ San Martin S.J.
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Telmo and Deportivo Madryn.
What is the prediction for San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn?
On our numbers San Telmo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Madryn 38%.
How many goals will there be in San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our predicted score is San Telmo 0–1 Deportivo Madryn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn?
San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Osvaldo Baletto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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