Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Agropecuario to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAgropecuario to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceAgropecuario or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗66% · fair 1.51
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.38
Agropecuario vs Patronato preview and prediction
The match
Agropecuario host Patronato in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 7 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Ofelia Rosenzuaig. Agropecuario are 12th with 46 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Patronato sit 16th on 38 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Agropecuario's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Colegiales 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Patronato's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Tristan Suarez 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.3 for Agropecuario and 0.4 for Patronato. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Agropecuario to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Agropecuario or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Agropecuario 1–0 Patronato. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Agropecuario62%fair 1.61 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.35
Patronato17%fair 5.91 · @3.40
1.73Expected goals
1.29Agropecuario xG
0.44Patronato xG
34%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
0–018%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Agropecuario 1.3 – 0.4 Patronato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Agropecuario to win✗
62%
1.61
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Agropecuario or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Agropecuario / FT Agropecuario✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.38
–
Form
Agropecuario – last 6
DDLWLL
30 May
@ Colegiales
0–0
D
24 May
vs Quilmes
0–0
D
17 May
@ Midland
0–2
L
5 May
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
3–2
W
21 Apr
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
1–4
L
31 Mar
@ Union Santa Fe
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Patronato – last 6
DLWDLL
31 May
vs Tristan Suarez
1–1
D
24 May
@ Club Atlético Güemes
0–1
L
17 May
vs Chacarita Juniors
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs Deportivo Maipu
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Colon Santa Fe
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Quilmes
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Agropecuario and Patronato.
What is the prediction for Agropecuario vs Patronato?
Our pick is Agropecuario or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Agropecuario vs Patronato?
On our numbers Agropecuario have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Patronato 17%.
How many goals will there be in Agropecuario vs Patronato?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 34% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Agropecuario vs Patronato?
Our predicted score is Agropecuario 1–0 Patronato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Agropecuario vs Patronato?
Agropecuario vs Patronato (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Ofelia Rosenzuaig.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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