Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Deportivo Moron to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.77Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Moron to win ✓64% · @1.77
Double chanceDeportivo Moron or draw ✓85% · @1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.59
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.51
Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Moron host Almirante Brown in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 7 June, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano. Deportivo Moron are 3rd with 61 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Almirante Brown sit 6th on 51 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Deportivo Moron's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Atletico Mitre 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Almirante Brown's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Colon Santa Fe 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Deportivo Moron and 0.4 for Almirante Brown. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Moron 64%, draw 21%, Almirante Brown 15%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Deportivo Moron to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.77, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Moron 1–0 Almirante Brown. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Moron64%fair 1.57 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @2.88
Almirante Brown15%fair 6.63 · @5.40
1.83Expected goals
1.38Deportivo Moron xG
0.45Almirante Brown xG
37%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Moron 1.4 – 0.4 Almirante Brown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Moron to win✓
64%
1.57
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Moron or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.09
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Moron / FT Deportivo Moron✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
22%
4.51
–
Form
Deportivo Moron – last 6
WWLLWW
31 May
@ Atletico Mitre
3–1
W
24 May
vs CA Estudiantes
2–0
W
19 May
@ All Boys
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Midland
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs San Telmo
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ Godoy Cruz
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Almirante Brown – last 6
DWLLWW
30 May
vs Colon Santa Fe
1–1
D
28 Apr
@ Ferro Carril Oeste
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Defensores De Belgrano
0–2
L
14 Mar
@ Racing Cordoba
1–2
L
2 Mar
@ CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs All Boys
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Moron and Almirante Brown.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown?
Our pick is Deportivo Moron to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.
Who will win Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown?
On our numbers Deportivo Moron have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Almirante Brown 15%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Moron 1–0 Almirante Brown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown?
Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chacarita Juniors0
Temperley1
Agropecuario1
Patronato1
Club Atlético Güemes1
Deportivo Maipu0