Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 29 Mar 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultPatronato to win ✗42% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.55

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.41

Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe preview and prediction

The match

The Primera Nacional sees Patronato take on Colon Santa Fe on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). Patronato are 16th with 38 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Colon Santa Fe sit 5th on 60 points (in the top half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Patronato's last 4: LDLD Most recently they lost to Quilmes 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Colon Santa Fe's last 4: WDDW Most recently they beat Acassuso 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Colon Santa Fe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Patronato and 0.9 for Colon Santa Fe. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.

Betting angles

Win chances: Patronato 42%, draw 26%, Colon Santa Fe 33%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Colon Santa Fe to win at 3.85 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Patronato 1–0 Colon Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Patronato42%fair 2.39 · @2.20

Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.60

Colon Santa Fe33%fair 3.07 · @3.85

1.89Expected goals

1.03Patronato xG

0.86Colon Santa Fe xG

47%Both score

30%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%

0–015%

1–113%

0–113%

2–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Patronato 1.0 – 0.9 Colon Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Patronato to win ✗	42%	2.39	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	74%	1.35	1.40
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	53%	1.90	1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	57%	1.76	1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	70%	1.44	1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	88%	1.14	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	51%	1.95	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	23%	4.32	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	16%	6.41	–

Form

Patronato – last 4

LDLD

15 Mar	@ Quilmes	0–3	L
3 Mar	@ Atlanta	0–0	D
22 Feb	vs Gimnasia Y Tiro	1–2	L
15 Feb	@ San Martin Tucuman	0–0	D

0.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

25%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Colon Santa Fe – last 4

WDDW

15 Mar	vs Acassuso	1–0	W
1 Mar	vs Ferro Carril Oeste	1–1	D
22 Feb	@ Central Norte	0–0	D
15 Feb	vs Deportivo Madryn	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Godoy Cruz	36	19	9	8	+20	66
2	Ferro Carril Oeste	36	19	9	8	+7	66
3	Deportivo Moron	36	18	7	11	+16	61
4	Deportivo Madryn	36	16	12	8	+21	60
5	Colon Santa Fe	36	16	12	8	+18	60
6	Almirante Brown	36	13	12	11	+4	51
7	Ciudad de Bolívar	36	13	12	11	-3	51
8	CA Estudiantes	36	13	10	13	0	49
9	Chaco For Ever	36	12	10	14	+2	46
10	Los Andes	36	9	16	11	+1	43
11	All Boys	36	8	17	11	-8	41
12	San Telmo	36	10	11	15	-11	41
13	Atletico Mitre	36	8	16	12	-11	40
14	Racing Cordoba	36	10	10	16	-13	40
15	Defensores De Belgrano	36	8	15	13	-9	39
16	Central Norte	36	7	17	12	-9	38
17	Acassuso	36	8	11	17	-10	35
18	San Miguel	36	6	15	15	-15	33

Team

Pts

+20

+16

+21

+18

-3

-8

-11

-11

-13

Defensores De Belgrano

-9

Central Norte

-9

Acassuso

-10

San Miguel

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe?

On our numbers Patronato have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Colon Santa Fe 33%.

How many goals will there be in Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe?

Our predicted score is Patronato 1–0 Colon Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe?

Patronato vs Colon Santa Fe (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Patronato