Value bet: San Martin Tucuman to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Madryn to win ✗39% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.46
Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Deportivo Madryn take on San Martin Tucuman on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Abel Sastre. Deportivo Madryn are 4th with 60 points from 36 games (in the top four), while San Martin Tucuman sit 10th on 47 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.0 for Deportivo Madryn and 0.9 for San Martin Tucuman. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Madryn 39%, draw 28%, San Martin Tucuman 33%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.48.
Value angle: San Martin Tucuman to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Deportivo Madryn 0–0 San Martin Tucuman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Madryn39%fair 2.56 · @2.35
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.62
San Martin Tucuman33%fair 3.00 · @3.40
1.84Expected goals
0.97Deportivo Madryn xG
0.86San Martin Tucuman xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–016%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo Madryn 1.0 – 0.9 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Madryn to win✗
39%
2.56
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.73
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.46
–
Form
Deportivo Madryn – last 2
LL
25 Feb
@ San Martin S.J.
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
San Martin Tucuman – last 2
DD
21 Mar
@ San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Patronato
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Madryn and San Martin Tucuman.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman?
On our numbers Deportivo Madryn have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 28% and San Martin Tucuman 33%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Madryn 0–0 San Martin Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman?
Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Abel Sastre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Temperley1
Nueva Chicago0
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Deportivo Maipu0
Gimnasia Y Tiro0