Value bet: Atletico Mitre to win @ 3.90 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Atlético Güemes to win ✗36% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗70% · @1.45
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.44
Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico Mitre preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Mitre travel to Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 29 March (21:00 WAT) to face Club Atlético Güemes. Club Atlético Güemes are 18th with 27 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while Atletico Mitre sit 13th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Club Atlético Güemes and 0.9 for Atletico Mitre. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Atlético Güemes 36%, draw 30%, Atletico Mitre 33%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Atletico Mitre to win at 3.90 – 33% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Club Atlético Güemes 0–0 Atletico Mitre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Atlético Güemes36%fair 2.75 · @2.40
Draw30%fair 3.29 · @2.35
Atletico Mitre33%fair 3.00 · @3.90
1.77Expected goals
0.92Club Atlético Güemes xG
0.86Atletico Mitre xG
48%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Club Atlético Güemes 0.9 – 0.9 Atletico Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Atlético Güemes to win✗
36%
2.75
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
70%
1.44
1.45
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.75
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
90%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.44
–
Form
Club Atlético Güemes – last 2
LL
22 Feb
@ San Martin S.J.
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Nueva Chicago
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atletico Mitre – last 1
W
23 Feb
vs CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Atlético Güemes and Atletico Mitre.
What is the prediction for Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico Mitre?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico Mitre?
On our numbers Club Atlético Güemes have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Atletico Mitre 33%.
How many goals will there be in Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico Mitre?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico Mitre?
Our predicted score is Club Atlético Güemes 0–0 Atletico Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico Mitre?
Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico Mitre (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Temperley1
Nueva Chicago0
Chacarita Juniors0
San Martin Tucuman1
Patronato0
Deportivo Maipu0
Gimnasia Y Tiro0