Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Atlanta to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.95
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlanta to win59% · @1.95
Double chanceAtlanta or draw86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals69% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–020% · fair 5.02
Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Atlanta take on Ferro Carril Oeste on Saturday 28 March, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Atlanta are 2nd with 62 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Ferro Carril Oeste sit 2nd on 66 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Atlanta's last 4: WDLW Most recently they beat Deportivo Maipu 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Atlanta and 0.5 for Ferro Carril Oeste. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlanta 59%, draw 27%, Ferro Carril Oeste 14%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlanta to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlanta 1–0 Ferro Carril Oeste. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlanta59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @2.70
Ferro Carril Oeste14%fair 7.30 · @4.60
1.98Expected goals
1.44Atlanta xG
0.54Ferro Carril Oeste xG
44%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Atlanta 1.4 – 0.5 Ferro Carril Oeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta to win
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Atlanta or draw
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
56%
1.80
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
69%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta / FT Atlanta
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
20%
5.02
–
Form
Atlanta – last 4
WDLW
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Maipu
3–1
W
3 Mar
vs Patronato
0–0
D
23 Feb
@ Colegiales
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Quilmes
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Ferro Carril Oeste – last 2
LD
21 Mar
vs Los Andes
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta and Ferro Carril Oeste.
What is the prediction for Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Our pick is Atlanta to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
On our numbers Atlanta have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ferro Carril Oeste 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Our predicted score is Atlanta 1–0 Ferro Carril Oeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Atlanta vs Ferro Carril Oeste (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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