Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Tristan Suarez to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultTristan Suarez to win35% · @3.50
Double chanceEither team to win69% · @1.48
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–117% · fair 6.05
Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez preview and prediction
The match
Almirante Brown host Tristan Suarez in the Primera Nacional on Saturday 28 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento. Almirante Brown are 6th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Tristan Suarez sit 1st on 64 points (top of the table). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Almirante Brown's last 4: LWWD Most recently they lost to Racing Cordoba 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.8 for Almirante Brown and 0.8 for Tristan Suarez. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 78% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almirante Brown 34%, draw 31%, Tristan Suarez 35%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.36.
Value angle: Tristan Suarez to win at 3.50 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Almirante Brown 0–0 Tristan Suarez. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almirante Brown34%fair 2.95 · @2.60
Draw31%fair 3.27 · @2.30
Tristan Suarez35%fair 2.82 · @3.50
1.58Expected goals
0.78Almirante Brown xG
0.80Tristan Suarez xG
44%Both score
22%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–021%
0–117%
1–016%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Almirante Brown 0.8 – 0.8 Tristan Suarez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tristan Suarez to win
35%
2.82
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
69%
1.44
1.48
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
92%
1.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
28%
3.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
17%
6.05
–
Form
Almirante Brown – last 4
LWWD
14 Mar
@ Racing Cordoba
1–2
L
2 Mar
@ CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs All Boys
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Los Andes
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tristan Suarez – last 2
WW
21 Mar
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–0
W
2 Mar
vs San Martin S.J.
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almirante Brown and Tristan Suarez.
What is the prediction for Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez?
On our numbers Almirante Brown have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Tristan Suarez 35%.
How many goals will there be in Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 22% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez?
Our predicted score is Almirante Brown 0–0 Tristan Suarez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez?
Almirante Brown vs Tristan Suarez (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Gimnasia Jujuy2
San Martin S.J.0
Atlanta
Almagro