Value bet: San Martin S.J. to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTristan Suarez to win ✓36% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.11
Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J. preview and prediction
The match
San Martin S.J. travel to Estadio 20 de Octubre in the Primera Nacional on Monday 2 March (00:30 WAT) to face Tristan Suarez. Tristan Suarez are 1st with 64 points from 36 games (top of the table), while San Martin S.J. sit 9th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Martin S.J.'s last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Deportivo Madryn 2–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.8 for Tristan Suarez and 0.8 for San Martin S.J.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 73% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tristan Suarez 36%, draw 29%, San Martin S.J. 35%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.55.
Value angle: San Martin S.J. to win at 3.50 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Tristan Suarez 0–0 San Martin S.J.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tristan Suarez36%fair 2.74 · @2.38
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.55
San Martin S.J.35%fair 2.86 · @3.50
1.61Expected goals
0.82Tristan Suarez xG
0.79San Martin S.J. xG
45%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–020%
1–016%
0–116%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Tristan Suarez 0.8 – 0.8 San Martin S.J. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tristan Suarez to win✓
36%
2.74
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.40
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.11
–
Form
Tristan Suarez
No recent results on record.
San Martin S.J. – last 3
WWD
25 Feb
vs Deportivo Madryn
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Club Atlético Güemes
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Chacarita Juniors
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tristan Suarez and San Martin S.J..
What is the prediction for Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J.?
On our numbers Tristan Suarez have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and San Martin S.J. 35%.
How many goals will there be in Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J.?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J.?
Our predicted score is Tristan Suarez 0–0 San Martin S.J., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J.?
Tristan Suarez vs San Martin S.J. (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 20 de Octubre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Almirante Brown1