San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu prediction & analysis
70%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.36
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Maipu to win @ 3.95 – our chance 30% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin Tucuman to win45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 6.02
San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu preview and prediction
The match
San Martin Tucuman host Deportivo Maipu in the Primera Nacional on Monday 2 March, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio La Ciudadela. San Martin Tucuman are 10th with 47 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Maipu sit 6th on 52 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for San Martin Tucuman and 0.8 for Deportivo Maipu. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martin Tucuman 45%, draw 25%, Deportivo Maipu 30%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Deportivo Maipu to win at 3.95 – 30% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Deportivo Maipu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martin Tucuman45%fair 2.22 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @2.70
Deportivo Maipu30%fair 3.35 · @3.95
1.87Expected goals
1.07San Martin Tucuman xG
0.79Deportivo Maipu xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Martin Tucuman 1.1 – 0.8 Deportivo Maipu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Tucuman to win
45%
2.22
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.99
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martin Tucuman / FT San Martin Tucuman
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
6.02
–
Form
San Martin Tucuman – last 1
D
15 Feb
vs Patronato
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportivo Maipu – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martin Tucuman and Deportivo Maipu.
What is the prediction for San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?
On our numbers San Martin Tucuman have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Maipu 30%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?
Our predicted score is San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Deportivo Maipu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu?
San Martin Tucuman vs Deportivo Maipu (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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