Value bet: Temperley to win @ 3.75 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico DE Rafaela to win ✓42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.24
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Temperley preview and prediction
The match
Temperley travel to Estadio Nuevo Monumental in the Primera Nacional on Monday 2 March (00:30 WAT) to face Atletico DE Rafaela. Atletico DE Rafaela are 11th with 47 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Temperley sit 3rd on 61 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.4 goals: 0.8 for Atletico DE Rafaela and 0.6 for Temperley. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico DE Rafaela 42%, draw 26%, Temperley 32%.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Temperley to win at 3.75 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Atletico DE Rafaela 0–0 Temperley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico DE Rafaela42%fair 2.38 · @2.25
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.60
Temperley32%fair 3.11 · @3.75
1.43Expected goals
0.80Atletico DE Rafaela xG
0.63Temperley xG
43%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–024%
1–019%
0–115%
1–112%
2–08%
2–15%
From our goals model: Atletico DE Rafaela 0.8 – 0.6 Temperley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico DE Rafaela to win✓
42%
2.38
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
59%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.24
–
Form
Atletico DE Rafaela – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Deportivo Maipu
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Almagro
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Temperley – last 1
W
23 Feb
vs Agropecuario
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico DE Rafaela and Temperley.
What is the prediction for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Temperley?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Atletico DE Rafaela vs Temperley?
On our numbers Atletico DE Rafaela have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Temperley 32%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Temperley?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Temperley?
Our predicted score is Atletico DE Rafaela 0–0 Temperley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.4 goals in total.
When is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Temperley?
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Temperley (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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