Value bet: Mornar to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMornar to win ✓46% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Jezero vs Mornar preview and prediction
The match
Mornar travel to Stadion Pod Racinom in the First League on Sunday 24 May (19:00 WAT) to face Jezero. Jezero are 8th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Mornar sit 3rd on 24 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Jezero's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Jedinstvo 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Mornar's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Petrovac 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Mornar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Jezero 1–2 Mornar. Across their last 2 meetings Jezero have won 0, Mornar 2, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Jezero and 1.3 for Mornar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jezero 31%, draw 22%, Mornar 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Mornar to win at 2.40 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.90, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jezero 1–1 Mornar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jezero31%fair 3.18 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.00
Mornar46%fair 2.16 · @2.40
2.31Expected goals
1.00Jezero xG
1.31Mornar xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Jezero 1.0 – 1.3 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Jezero vs Mornar?
On our numbers Jezero have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mornar 46%.
How many goals will there be in Jezero vs Mornar?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jezero vs Mornar?
Our predicted score is Jezero 1–1 Mornar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Jezero vs Mornar?
Jezero vs Mornar (First League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Pod Racinom.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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