Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBokelj to win ✓62% · @1.65
Double chanceBokelj or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.87
Bokelj vs Dečić preview and prediction
The match
Bokelj host Dečić in the First League on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stadion pod Vrmcem. Bokelj are 6th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Dečić sit 5th on 21 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bokelj's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Buducnost Podgorica 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Dečić's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Arsenal Tivat 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Dečić arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.7 for Bokelj and 0.8 for Dečić. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bokelj 62%, draw 20%, Dečić 18%.
Safer route: Bokelj or draw (82%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 54% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bokelj to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bokelj 1–0 Dečić. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bokelj62%fair 1.61 · @1.65
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.20
Dečić18%fair 5.50 · @4.80
2.46Expected goals
1.70Bokelj xG
0.76Dečić xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bokelj 1.7 – 0.8 Dečić expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bokelj to win✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Double chance
Bokelj or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bokelj / FT Bokelj✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.87
–
Form
Bokelj – last 6
LLLLLD
20 May
@ Buducnost Podgorica
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Petrovac
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Arsenal Tivat
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Mornar
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Jedinstvo
1–4
L
25 Feb
@ Jezero
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dečić – last 6
LWDWLL
20 May
vs Arsenal Tivat
1–2
L
6 May
vs Otrant-Olympic
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Buducnost Podgorica
0–0
D
22 Apr
@ Otrant-Olympic
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Mladost DG
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Sutjeska
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bokelj and Dečić.
Our pick is Bokelj to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Bokelj vs Dečić?
On our numbers Bokelj have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dečić 18%.
How many goals will there be in Bokelj vs Dečić?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bokelj vs Dečić?
Our predicted score is Bokelj 1–0 Dečić, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Bokelj vs Dečić?
Bokelj vs Dečić (First League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion pod Vrmcem.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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