Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHJK Helsinki to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chanceHJK Helsinki or draw ✓87% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.17
Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki preview and prediction
The match
Mariehamn host HJK Helsinki in the Veikkausliiga on Tuesday 23 June, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Wiklof Holding Arena. Mariehamn are 6th with 19 points from 27 games, while HJK Helsinki sit 2nd on 59 points. A gap of 40 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mariehamn's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to AC Oulu 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
HJK Helsinki's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Inter Turku 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 4.7 goals a game.
HJK Helsinki arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 May 2026, finished HJK Helsinki 1–0 Mariehamn.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Mariehamn and 2.1 for HJK Helsinki. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mariehamn 13%, draw 21%, HJK Helsinki 67%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Mariehamn 0–2 HJK Helsinki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mariehamn13%fair 7.82 · @7.40
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.60
HJK Helsinki67%fair 1.50 · @1.36
2.86Expected goals
0.79Mariehamn xG
2.07HJK Helsinki xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Mariehamn 0.8 – 2.1 HJK Helsinki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki?
On our numbers Mariehamn have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 21% and HJK Helsinki 67%.
How many goals will there be in Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki?
Our predicted score is Mariehamn 0–2 HJK Helsinki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki?
Mariehamn vs HJK Helsinki (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Tuesday 23 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Wiklof Holding Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
