Ilves travel to Vare Areena in the Veikkausliiga on Tuesday 23 June (16:00 WAT) to face KuPS. KuPS are 3rd with 53 points from 32 games, while Ilves sit 2nd on 38 points. A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
KuPS's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Turku PS 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Ilves's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat FF Jaro 5–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ilves arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished KuPS 0–1 Ilves.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for KuPS and 0.9 for Ilves. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KuPS 60%, draw 24%, Ilves 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: KuPS 2–0 Ilves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KuPS60%fair 1.66 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.90
Ilves15%fair 6.53 · @4.80
2.87Expected goals
1.96KuPS xG
0.91Ilves xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: KuPS 2.0 – 0.9 Ilves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win KuPS vs Ilves?
On our numbers KuPS have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ilves 15%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs Ilves?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KuPS vs Ilves?
Our predicted score is KuPS 2–0 Ilves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is KuPS vs Ilves?
KuPS vs Ilves (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Tuesday 23 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vare Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
