FF Jaro host Gnistan in the Veikkausliiga on Tuesday 23 June, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Project Liv Arena. FF Jaro are 5th with 21 points from 27 games, while Gnistan sit 5th on 46 points. A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FF Jaro's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Ilves 0–5 away. They average 1.5 scored and 3.3 conceded.
Gnistan's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Lahti 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gnistan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for FF Jaro and 1.7 for Gnistan. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FF Jaro 30%, draw 21%, Gnistan 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FF Jaro 1–1 Gnistan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FF Jaro30%fair 3.33 · @3.05
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Gnistan49%fair 2.03 · @2.14
2.91Expected goals
1.24FF Jaro xG
1.67Gnistan xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: FF Jaro 1.2 – 1.7 Gnistan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gnistan to win✗
49%
2.03
2.14 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gnistan / FT Gnistan✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.61
–
Form
FF Jaro – last 6
LLLWLL
17 Jun
@ Ilves
0–5
L
13 Jun
vs HJK Helsinki
2–5
L
31 May
@ AC Oulu
1–2
L
23 May
vs Mariehamn
3–0
W
20 May
@ KuPS
0–3
L
13 May
@ VJS
3–5
L
1.5Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gnistan – last 6
WWWLWD
17 Jun
vs Lahti
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ Mariehamn
3–0
W
30 May
vs SJK
3–2
W
23 May
@ Ilves
0–2
L
5 May
vs Inter Turku
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ Turku PS
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FF Jaro and Gnistan.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FF Jaro vs Gnistan?
On our numbers FF Jaro have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gnistan 49%.
How many goals will there be in FF Jaro vs Gnistan?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FF Jaro vs Gnistan?
Our predicted score is FF Jaro 1–1 Gnistan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FF Jaro vs Gnistan?
FF Jaro vs Gnistan (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Tuesday 23 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Project Liv Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
