SJK travel to Markku.fi Areena in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday 30 May (15:00 WAT) to face Gnistan. Gnistan are 5th with 46 points from 32 games, while SJK sit 4th on 27 points. A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gnistan's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Ilves 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
SJK's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat SJK Akatemia 5–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Gnistan and 1.4 for SJK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gnistan 37%, draw 23%, SJK 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Gnistan 1–1 SJK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gnistan37%fair 2.71 · @2.68
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
SJK40%fair 2.48 · @2.38
2.72Expected goals
1.32Gnistan xG
1.40SJK xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gnistan 1.3 – 1.4 SJK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SJK to win✗
40%
2.48
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SJK / FT SJK✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Form
Gnistan – last 6
LWDWDD
23 May
@ Ilves
0–2
L
5 May
vs Inter Turku
2–0
W
24 Apr
@ Turku PS
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ POHU
2–0
W
28 Mar
@ Kooteepee
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Lahti
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
SJK – last 6
WLWDDW
26 May
@ SJK Akatemia
5–0
W
23 May
vs AC Oulu
0–1
L
12 May
vs PEPO
3–0
W
8 May
@ KuPS
0–0
D
2 May
vs Ilves
1–1
D
28 Apr
@ VPS II
6–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gnistan and SJK.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gnistan vs SJK?
On our numbers Gnistan have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SJK 40%.
How many goals will there be in Gnistan vs SJK?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gnistan vs SJK?
Our predicted score is Gnistan 1–1 SJK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gnistan vs SJK?
Gnistan vs SJK (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
