Lahti travel to Vare Areena in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday 23 May (15:00 WAT) to face KuPS. KuPS are 3rd with 53 points from 32 games, while Lahti sit 1st on 39 points. A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
KuPS's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat FF Jaro 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lahti's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with VPS 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for KuPS and 0.6 for Lahti. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KuPS 69%, draw 20%, Lahti 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was KuPS to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.54, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: KuPS 1–0 Lahti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KuPS69%fair 1.45 · @1.54
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.80
Lahti11%fair 8.95 · @5.60
2.45Expected goals
1.88KuPS xG
0.58Lahti xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
3–09%
1–19%
2–19%
0–09%
From our goals model: KuPS 1.9 – 0.6 Lahti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KuPS to win✓
69%
1.45
1.54 ▲
Double chance
KuPS or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.33
Half-time result
KuPS ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KuPS / FT KuPS✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.20
–
Form
KuPS – last 6
WWDDWL
20 May
vs FF Jaro
3–0
W
12 May
@ PK-35
2–0
W
8 May
vs SJK
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs HJK Helsinki
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs AC Oulu
3–2
W
26 Feb
@ Lech Poznan
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lahti – last 6
DWDLWW
18 May
vs VPS
1–1
D
13 May
vs MP
3–1
W
10 May
vs Mariehamn
1–1
D
4 May
@ HJK Helsinki
0–1
L
28 Apr
@ Union Plaani
4–2
W
13 Apr
@ Kooteepee
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KuPS and Lahti.
Our pick is KuPS to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.
Who will win KuPS vs Lahti?
On our numbers KuPS have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lahti 11%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs Lahti?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KuPS vs Lahti?
Our predicted score is KuPS 1–0 Lahti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is KuPS vs Lahti?
KuPS vs Lahti (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vare Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
