Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMolde to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Aalesund vs Molde preview and prediction
The match
Aalesund host Molde in the Eliteserien on Saturday 11 July, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Color Line Stadion. Aalesund are 15th with 24 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Molde sit 5th on 44 points (in the top half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Aalesund's last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Kristiansund BK 3–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Molde's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Rosenborg 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Aalesund and 1.7 for Molde. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aalesund 33%, draw 19%, Molde 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Aalesund 1–1 Molde. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aalesund33%fair 3.01 · @3.10
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.75
Molde47%fair 2.11 · @2.10
3.07Expected goals
1.37Aalesund xG
1.70Molde xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Aalesund 1.4 – 1.7 Molde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molde to win✗
47%
2.11
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molde / FT Molde✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.89
–
Form
Aalesund – last 6
WDDWLL
27 Jun
@ Kristiansund BK
3–0
W
29 May
vs Ham-Kam
2–2
D
25 May
@ Tromso
1–1
D
20 May
vs Brann
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Brann
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs Fredrikstad
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Molde – last 6
LLWWLW
5 Jul
@ Rosenborg
1–2
L
28 Jun
vs BodoGlimt
1–4
L
21 Jun
vs KFUM Oslo
5–1
W
30 May
vs Sandefjord
2–1
W
25 May
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–2
L
4 May
@ BodoGlimt
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aalesund and Molde.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Aalesund vs Molde?
On our numbers Aalesund have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Molde 47%.
How many goals will there be in Aalesund vs Molde?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aalesund vs Molde?
Our predicted score is Aalesund 1–1 Molde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Aalesund vs Molde?
Aalesund vs Molde (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Color Line Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
