Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees Valerenga take on Kristiansund BK on Friday 29 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Intility Arena. Valerenga are 8th with 32 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Kristiansund BK sit 14th on 26 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Valerenga's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Start 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Kristiansund BK's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Viking 1–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Kristiansund BK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Valerenga and 0.8 for Kristiansund BK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 59%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valerenga 68%, draw 18%, Kristiansund BK 14%.
Safer route: Valerenga or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Valerenga to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Valerenga 2–0 Kristiansund BK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valerenga68%fair 1.47 · @1.55
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @4.33
Kristiansund BK14%fair 7.00 · @5.20
2.90Expected goals
2.09Valerenga xG
0.80Kristiansund BK xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Valerenga 2.1 – 0.8 Kristiansund BK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valerenga to win✓
68%
1.47
1.55 ▲
Double chance
Valerenga or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.62
Half-time result
Valerenga ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valerenga / FT Valerenga✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Form
Valerenga – last 6
LLLLDW
25 May
@ Start
0–2
L
8 May
@ Ham-Kam
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Molde
1–5
L
6 Apr
vs Viking
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs IFK Goteborg
3–3
D
22 Mar
@ Rosenborg
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kristiansund BK – last 6
LWWLWW
24 May
vs Viking
1–2
L
20 May
@ Lillestrom
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Fredrikstad
2–0
W
6 Apr
vs BodoGlimt
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Brann
3–2
W
18 Feb
vs Ham-Kam
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valerenga and Kristiansund BK.
What is the prediction for Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK?
Our pick is Valerenga to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK?
On our numbers Valerenga have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Kristiansund BK 14%.
How many goals will there be in Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK?
Our predicted score is Valerenga 2–0 Kristiansund BK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK?
Valerenga vs Kristiansund BK (Eliteserien) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Intility Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
