Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Fredrikstad to win @ 1.77 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFredrikstad to win ✓66% · @1.77
Double chanceFredrikstad or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.21
Fredrikstad vs Start preview and prediction
The match
Fredrikstad host Start in the Eliteserien on Friday 29 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Fredrikstad Stadion. Fredrikstad are 12th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Start sit 16th on 19 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Fredrikstad's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Sandefjord 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Start's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Valerenga 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Fredrikstad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Fredrikstad and 0.9 for Start. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Value angle: Fredrikstad to win at 1.77 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fredrikstad or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fredrikstad 2–0 Start. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fredrikstad66%fair 1.52 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.85
Start13%fair 7.96 · @4.00
3.15Expected goals
2.24Fredrikstad xG
0.92Start xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Fredrikstad 2.2 – 0.9 Start expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fredrikstad to win✓
66%
1.52
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Fredrikstad or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.48
Half-time result
Fredrikstad ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fredrikstad / FT Fredrikstad✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.21
–
Form
Fredrikstad – last 6
DLLWWL
25 May
@ Sandefjord
1–1
D
9 May
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Kristiansund BK
0–2
L
7 Apr
@ Aalesund
3–2
W
22 Mar
vs KFUM Oslo
3–1
W
19 Mar
@ KFUM Oslo
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Start – last 6
WLLDLL
25 May
vs Valerenga
2–0
W
20 May
vs BodoGlimt
1–4
L
30 Apr
@ BodoGlimt
0–5
L
6 Apr
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ KFUM Oslo
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Sandefjord
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fredrikstad and Start.
Our pick is Fredrikstad or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Start?
On our numbers Fredrikstad have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Start 13%.
How many goals will there be in Fredrikstad vs Start?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fredrikstad vs Start?
Our predicted score is Fredrikstad 2–0 Start, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Fredrikstad vs Start?
Fredrikstad vs Start (Eliteserien) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Fredrikstad Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
