Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Ham-Kam to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAalesund to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Aalesund vs Ham-Kam preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees Aalesund take on Ham-Kam on Friday 29 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Color Line Stadion. Aalesund are 15th with 24 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Ham-Kam sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Aalesund's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Tromso 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Ham-Kam's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Lillestrom 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ham-Kam arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Aalesund and 1.5 for Ham-Kam. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aalesund 42%, draw 22%, Ham-Kam 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Ham-Kam to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Aalesund 1–1 Ham-Kam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aalesund42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.70
Ham-Kam36%fair 2.79 · @3.10
3.09Expected goals
1.62Aalesund xG
1.48Ham-Kam xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Aalesund 1.6 – 1.5 Ham-Kam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aalesund to win✗
42%
2.38
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aalesund / FT Aalesund✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Form
Aalesund – last 6
DWLLWL
25 May
@ Tromso
1–1
D
20 May
vs Brann
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Brann
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs Fredrikstad
2–3
L
18 Mar
@ Viking
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Lillestrom
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ham-Kam – last 6
WWWLWW
25 May
vs Lillestrom
2–0
W
8 May
vs Valerenga
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs KFUM Oslo
4–0
W
6 Apr
vs Brann
1–5
L
1 Mar
vs Lyn
4–0
W
25 Feb
@ Haugesund
2–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aalesund and Ham-Kam.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Aalesund vs Ham-Kam?
On our numbers Aalesund have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ham-Kam 36%.
How many goals will there be in Aalesund vs Ham-Kam?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aalesund vs Ham-Kam?
Our predicted score is Aalesund 1–1 Ham-Kam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Aalesund vs Ham-Kam?
Aalesund vs Ham-Kam (Eliteserien) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Color Line Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
