Value bet: Cancún to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCancún to win ✓42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.43
Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún preview and prediction
The match
Correcaminos Uat host Cancún in the Liga De Expansión MX on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT). Correcaminos Uat are 12th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Cancún sit 5th on 25 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Correcaminos Uat's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Dorados 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cancún's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Tepatitlán 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Correcaminos Uat and 1.5 for Cancún. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Cancún to win at 2.62 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Correcaminos Uat 1–1 Cancún. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Correcaminos Uat36%fair 2.80 · @2.46
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.55
Cancún42%fair 2.40 · @2.62
2.87Expected goals
1.37Correcaminos Uat xG
1.50Cancún xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Correcaminos Uat 1.4 – 1.5 Cancún expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cancún to win✓
42%
2.40
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cancún / FT Cancún✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.43
–
Form
Correcaminos Uat – last 6
LLWWDD
29 Mar
@ Dorados
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ CDS Tampico Madero
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Irapuato
2–1
W
7 Mar
@ Venados FC
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Tapatío
2–2
D
14 Feb
vs Atlante FC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cancún – last 6
DDDWLW
29 Mar
vs Tepatitlán
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Irapuato
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs CA La Paz
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Tapatío
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Correcaminos Uat and Cancún.
What is the prediction for Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún?
On our numbers Correcaminos Uat have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cancún 42%.
How many goals will there be in Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún?
Our predicted score is Correcaminos Uat 1–1 Cancún, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún?
Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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