Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Irapuato to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIrapuato to win ✓63% · @1.83
Double chanceIrapuato or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.98
Irapuato vs CA La Paz preview and prediction
The match
CA La Paz travel to face Irapuato in the Liga De Expansión MX on Saturday 4 April (02:00 WAT).
Form guide
Irapuato's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Monarcas 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.
CA La Paz's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with CDS Tampico Madero 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CA La Paz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Irapuato and 1.0 for CA La Paz. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Irapuato 63%, draw 20%, CA La Paz 17%.
Safer route: Irapuato or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Irapuato to win at 1.83 – 63% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Irapuato or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Irapuato 2–0 CA La Paz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Irapuato63%fair 1.59 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.80
CA La Paz17%fair 5.78 · @3.85
3.08Expected goals
2.09Irapuato xG
0.99CA La Paz xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Irapuato 2.1 – 1.0 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Irapuato to win✓
63%
1.59
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Irapuato or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Half-time result
Irapuato ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Irapuato / FT Irapuato✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.98
–
Form
Irapuato – last 6
LDLWLL
29 Mar
@ Monarcas
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Cancún
2–2
D
14 Mar
@ Correcaminos Uat
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
6–2
W
26 Feb
vs Atlante FC
0–5
L
21 Feb
@ Tepatitlán
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
CA La Paz – last 6
DWDWWL
28 Mar
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
4–0
W
15 Mar
@ Cancún
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Tlaxcala
2–0
W
5 Mar
vs Leones Negros UDG
3–0
W
1 Mar
@ Monarcas
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Irapuato and CA La Paz.
Our pick is Irapuato or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Irapuato vs CA La Paz?
On our numbers Irapuato have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and CA La Paz 17%.
How many goals will there be in Irapuato vs CA La Paz?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Irapuato vs CA La Paz?
Our predicted score is Irapuato 2–0 CA La Paz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Irapuato vs CA La Paz?
Irapuato vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
