Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Atlante FC to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlante FC to win ✗60% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Venados FC vs Atlante FC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Expansión MX sees Venados FC take on Atlante FC on Saturday 28 March, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero.
Form guide
Venados FC's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Tepatitlán 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Atlante FC's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Dorados 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlante FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.2 for Venados FC and 2.0 for Atlante FC. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 65%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Venados FC 24%, draw 16%, Atlante FC 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Atlante FC to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Venados FC 1–2 Atlante FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Venados FC24%fair 4.12 · @3.55
Draw16%fair 6.44 · @3.80
Atlante FC60%fair 1.66 · @1.90
3.18Expected goals
1.16Venados FC xG
2.02Atlante FC xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–28%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Venados FC 1.2 – 2.0 Atlante FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlante FC to win✗
60%
1.66
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Half-time result
Atlante FC ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlante FC / FT Atlante FC✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
Venados FC – last 4
LLLL
21 Mar
@ Tepatitlán
0–2
L
7 Mar
vs Correcaminos Uat
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
0–2
L
15 Feb
@ Monarcas
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Atlante FC – last 6
WDWDWW
22 Mar
vs Dorados
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Tlaxcala
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Monarcas
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Leones Negros UDG
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Irapuato
5–0
W
22 Feb
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venados FC and Atlante FC.
What is the prediction for Venados FC vs Atlante FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Venados FC vs Atlante FC?
On our numbers Venados FC have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Atlante FC 60%.
How many goals will there be in Venados FC vs Atlante FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venados FC vs Atlante FC?
Our predicted score is Venados FC 1–2 Atlante FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Venados FC vs Atlante FC?
Venados FC vs Atlante FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
