Irapuato vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Irapuato or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Irapuato to win @ 1.81 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIrapuato to win ✓59% · @1.81
Double chanceIrapuato or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.87
Irapuato vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca preview and prediction
The match
Alebrijes de Oaxaca travel to face Irapuato in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 8 March (02:00 WAT).
Form guide
Irapuato's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to Atlante FC 0–5 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Dorados 3–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Irapuato and 1.0 for Alebrijes de Oaxaca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Irapuato 59%, draw 22%, Alebrijes de Oaxaca 20%.
Safer route: Irapuato or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Irapuato to win at 1.81 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Irapuato or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Irapuato 1–0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Irapuato59%fair 1.70 · @1.81
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.65
Alebrijes de Oaxaca20%fair 5.05 · @4.10
2.79Expected goals
1.84Irapuato xG
0.95Alebrijes de Oaxaca xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Irapuato 1.8 – 1.0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Irapuato to win✓
59%
1.70
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Irapuato or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.33
Half-time result
Irapuato ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Irapuato / FT Irapuato✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.87
–
Form
Irapuato – last 3
LLW
26 Feb
vs Atlante FC
0–5
L
21 Feb
@ Tepatitlán
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Dorados
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Alebrijes de Oaxaca – last 3
WLD
28 Feb
vs Dorados
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Atlante FC
0–1
L
14 Feb
vs Tlaxcala
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Irapuato and Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
What is the prediction for Irapuato vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Our pick is Irapuato or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Irapuato vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
On our numbers Irapuato have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alebrijes de Oaxaca 20%.
How many goals will there be in Irapuato vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Irapuato vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Our predicted score is Irapuato 1–0 Alebrijes de Oaxaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Irapuato vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Irapuato vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlante FC2