Atlante FC host Monarcas in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 8 March, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Atlante FC's last 4: DWWD Most recently they drew with Leones Negros UDG 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Monarcas's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat CA La Paz 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Monarcas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Atlante FC and 0.8 for Monarcas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlante FC 64%, draw 19%, Monarcas 18%.
Safer route: Atlante FC or draw (82%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Atlante FC 1–0 Monarcas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlante FC64%fair 1.57 · @1.61
Draw19%fair 5.33 · @3.75
Monarcas18%fair 5.68 · @5.50
2.61Expected goals
1.82Atlante FC xG
0.79Monarcas xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Atlante FC 1.8 – 0.8 Monarcas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlante FC to win✓
64%
1.57
1.61
Double chance
Atlante FC or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Atlante FC ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlante FC / FT Atlante FC✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.47
–
Form
Atlante FC – last 4
DWWD
1 Mar
@ Leones Negros UDG
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Irapuato
5–0
W
22 Feb
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Correcaminos Uat
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Monarcas – last 3
WWW
1 Mar
vs CA La Paz
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Dorados
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Venados FC
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlante FC and Monarcas.
What is the prediction for Atlante FC vs Monarcas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atlante FC vs Monarcas?
On our numbers Atlante FC have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Monarcas 18%.
How many goals will there be in Atlante FC vs Monarcas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlante FC vs Monarcas?
Our predicted score is Atlante FC 1–0 Monarcas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Atlante FC vs Monarcas?
Atlante FC vs Monarcas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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