Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCA La Paz to win ✓49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala preview and prediction
The match
Tlaxcala travel to Estadio Guaycura in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 8 March (04:00 WAT) to face CA La Paz. CA La Paz are 1st with 30 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Tlaxcala sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.7 for CA La Paz and 1.3 for Tlaxcala. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 60%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CA La Paz 49%, draw 20%, Tlaxcala 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: CA La Paz 1–1 Tlaxcala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CA La Paz49%fair 2.03 · @2.00
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.65
Tlaxcala30%fair 3.29 · @3.35
3.02Expected goals
1.73CA La Paz xG
1.29Tlaxcala xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
2–07%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: CA La Paz 1.7 – 1.3 Tlaxcala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CA La Paz to win✓
49%
2.03
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz✓
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Form
CA La Paz – last 2
WL
5 Mar
vs Leones Negros UDG
3–0
W
1 Mar
@ Monarcas
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tlaxcala – last 2
WD
1 Mar
vs Tepatitlán
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CA La Paz and Tlaxcala.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
On our numbers CA La Paz have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Tlaxcala 30%.
How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
Our predicted score is CA La Paz 1–1 Tlaxcala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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