Value bet: Degerfors IF to win @ 3.35 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVasteras SK FK to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13
Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF preview and prediction
The match
Vasteras SK FK host Degerfors IF in the Allsvenskan on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Hitachi Energy Arena. Vasteras SK FK are 6th with 45 points from 28 games (in the top half), while Degerfors IF sit 14th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Vasteras SK FK's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Halmstad 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Degerfors IF's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Malmo FF 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Vasteras SK FK and 1.4 for Degerfors IF. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vasteras SK FK 44%, draw 22%, Degerfors IF 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Degerfors IF to win at 3.35 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Vasteras SK FK 1–1 Degerfors IF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vasteras SK FK44%fair 2.27 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.30
Degerfors IF34%fair 2.93 · @3.35
2.93Expected goals
1.58Vasteras SK FK xG
1.35Degerfors IF xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Vasteras SK FK 1.6 – 1.4 Degerfors IF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vasteras SK FK to win✓
44%
2.27
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vasteras SK FK / FT Vasteras SK FK✓
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.13
–
Form
Vasteras SK FK – last 6
WLLWDL
4 Jul
@ Halmstad
3–1
W
28 Jun
@ AIK Stockholm
2–3
L
31 May
vs IFK Goteborg
4–5
L
24 May
@ Malmo FF
3–2
W
17 May
vs AIK Stockholm
1–1
D
3 May
@ Hammarby FF
0–3
L
2.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Degerfors IF – last 6
LDLDWL
4 Jul
vs Malmo FF
0–1
L
31 May
vs IF Brommapojkarna
2–2
D
23 May
@ Kalmar FF
1–2
L
27 Apr
@ Orgryte IS
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs AIK Stockholm
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs IF Elfsborg
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vasteras SK FK and Degerfors IF.
What is the prediction for Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF?
On our numbers Vasteras SK FK have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Degerfors IF 34%.
How many goals will there be in Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF?
Our predicted score is Vasteras SK FK 1–1 Degerfors IF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF?
Vasteras SK FK vs Degerfors IF (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Hitachi Energy Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
