Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Malmo FF to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMalmo FF to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg preview and prediction
The match
Malmo FF host IFK Goteborg in the Allsvenskan on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Eleda Stadium. Malmo FF are 7th with 41 points from 28 games (in the top half), while IFK Goteborg sit 10th on 39 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Malmo FF's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Degerfors IF 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
IFK Goteborg's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to AIK Stockholm 1–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Malmo FF and 1.2 for IFK Goteborg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Malmo FF to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Malmo FF 2–1 IFK Goteborg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malmo FF59%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw17%fair 5.97 · @3.80
IFK Goteborg24%fair 4.20 · @3.70
3.32Expected goals
2.09Malmo FF xG
1.22IFK Goteborg xG
64%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Malmo FF 2.1 – 1.2 IFK Goteborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malmo FF to win✓
59%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.50
Half-time result
Malmo FF ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malmo FF / FT Malmo FF✓
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Form
Malmo FF – last 6
WDWLLL
4 Jul
@ Degerfors IF
1–0
W
26 Jun
vs FC Midtjylland
2–2
D
30 May
vs Halmstad
5–2
W
24 May
vs Vasteras SK FK
2–3
L
17 May
@ Hammarby FF
1–4
L
3 May
vs Mjallby AIF
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
IFK Goteborg – last 6
LLDWDW
5 Jul
vs AIK Stockholm
1–2
L
27 Jun
vs Ham-Kam
1–2
L
18 Jun
vs Valerenga
1–1
D
31 May
@ Vasteras SK FK
5–4
W
25 May
vs Mjallby AIF
1–1
D
19 May
@ Orgryte IS
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malmo FF and IFK Goteborg.
What is the prediction for Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg?
On our numbers Malmo FF have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and IFK Goteborg 24%.
How many goals will there be in Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg?
Our predicted score is Malmo FF 2–1 IFK Goteborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg?
Malmo FF vs IFK Goteborg (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Eleda Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
