Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Gais to win @ 1.90 – our chance 65% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGais to win ✓65% · @1.90
Double chanceGais or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.95
Gais vs IF Elfsborg preview and prediction
The match
IF Elfsborg travel to Gamla Ullevi in the Allsvenskan on Sunday 12 July (15:30 WAT) to face Gais. Gais are 9th with 40 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while IF Elfsborg sit 5th on 46 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gais's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with IF Brommapojkarna 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
IF Elfsborg's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Hammarby FF 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Gais 2–0 IF Elfsborg.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Gais and 0.7 for IF Elfsborg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gais 65%, draw 21%, IF Elfsborg 15%.
Safer route: Gais or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Gais to win at 1.90 – 65% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gais or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gais 1–0 IF Elfsborg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gais65%fair 1.55 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.45
IF Elfsborg15%fair 6.82 · @3.90
2.54Expected goals
1.83Gais xG
0.71IF Elfsborg xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Gais 1.8 – 0.7 IF Elfsborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Gais or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Gais vs IF Elfsborg?
On our numbers Gais have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and IF Elfsborg 15%.
How many goals will there be in Gais vs IF Elfsborg?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gais vs IF Elfsborg?
Our predicted score is Gais 1–0 IF Elfsborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gais vs IF Elfsborg?
Gais vs IF Elfsborg (Allsvenskan) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Gamla Ullevi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
