Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Fort Wayne to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFort Wayne to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceFort Wayne or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.87
Fort Wayne vs Naples preview and prediction
The match
Naples travel to Ruoff Mortgage Stadium in the USL League One on Sunday 20 September (00:30 WAT) to face Fort Wayne. Fort Wayne are 9th with 45 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Naples sit 8th on 46 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fort Wayne's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to One Knoxville 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Naples's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with One Knoxville 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Naples 2–0 Fort Wayne.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Fort Wayne and 0.9 for Naples. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fort Wayne 59%, draw 23%, Naples 19%.
Safer route: Fort Wayne or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Fort Wayne to win at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fort Wayne or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Fort Wayne 1–0 Naples. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fort Wayne59%fair 1.71 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
Naples19%fair 5.33 · @3.80
2.80Expected goals
1.85Fort Wayne xG
0.95Naples xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Fort Wayne 1.9 – 0.9 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Fort Wayne or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fort Wayne vs Naples?
On our numbers Fort Wayne have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Naples 19%.
How many goals will there be in Fort Wayne vs Naples?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fort Wayne vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Fort Wayne 1–0 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Fort Wayne vs Naples?
Fort Wayne vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Ruoff Mortgage Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
