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USL League One · USA · CHI Memorial Stadium

Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine prediction & analysis

81%
Footrivo pick

Chattanooga Red Wolves or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultChattanooga Red Wolves to win ✗58% · @1.67
Double chanceChattanooga Red Wolves or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Win chances

Chattanooga Red Wolves58%fair 1.71 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.50
Portland Hearts of Pine19%fair 5.29 · @4.00
3.25Expected goals
2.11Chattanooga Red Wolves xG
1.14Portland Hearts of Pine xG
61%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Chattanooga Red Wolves 2.1 – 1.1 Portland Hearts of Pine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Chattanooga Red Wolves hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 19% for Portland Hearts of Pine.

Chattanooga Red Wolves have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.3 per game. Portland Hearts of Pine have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 3.3 goals (2.1 for Chattanooga Red Wolves, 1.1 for Portland Hearts of Pine). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%).

In their last 1 meeting, Chattanooga Red Wolves have won 1, Portland Hearts of Pine have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Chattanooga Red Wolves or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.23.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChattanooga Red Wolves to win ✗58%1.711.67
Double chanceChattanooga Red Wolves or draw ✓81%1.231.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.651.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Half-time resultChattanooga Red Wolves ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chattanooga Red Wolves / FT Chattanooga Red Wolves ✗38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Form

Chattanooga Red Wolves – last 6

WDWWLD
17 Sepvs Forward Madison1–0W
12 Sep@ Richmond Kickers1–1D
6 Sepvs Greenville Triumph3–1W
3 Sep@ Westchester SC1–0W
30 Augvs Boise2–3L
23 Augvs NY Cosmos3–3D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Portland Hearts of Pine – last 6

WWLLDD
13 Sepvs Alta1–0W
6 Sepvs Westchester SC2–1W
3 Sep@ Charlotte Independence2–3L
30 Augvs Fort Wayne1–4L
23 Aug@ Richmond Kickers1–1D
20 Aug@ One Knoxville1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jun 2026Portland Hearts of Pine v Chattanooga Red Wolves1–2

USL League One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence322066+2866
2Union Omaha321958+2062
3Boise321778+1058
4Forward Madison321688+2456
5Spokane Velocity3216610+654
6One Knoxville321598+1654
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3214513+647
8Naples3214414-746
9Fort Wayne3212911+545
10Westchester SC3211714+440
11Sarasota Paradise3211714-240
12Corpus Christi3291013-1537
13Alta3281014-834
14Portland Hearts of Pine3281014-1034
15Greenville Triumph328618-2330
16NY Cosmos327619-2627
17Richmond Kickers327520-2826

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Our pick is Chattanooga Red Wolves or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

On our numbers Chattanooga Red Wolves have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portland Hearts of Pine 19%.

How many goals will there be in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

When is Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at CHI Memorial Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.