USL League One · USA · Premier Sports CampusSarasota Paradise vs Greenville Triumph prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sarasota Paradise 1.5 – 1.2 Greenville Triumph expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sarasota Paradise hold the edge on home soil with a 46% chance of winning, against 32% for Greenville Triumph.
Sarasota Paradise have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (2W 3D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Greenville Triumph have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded. Sarasota Paradise come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.5 for Sarasota Paradise, 1.2 for Greenville Triumph). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Sarasota Paradise have won 0, Greenville Triumph have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.67.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sarasota Paradise to win ✓ | 46% | 2.18 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 71% | 1.42 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.40 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sarasota Paradise / FT Sarasota Paradise ✓ | 26% | 3.80 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.17 | – |
Form
Sarasota Paradise – last 6
| 12 Sep | @ Forward Madison | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Spokane Velocity | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Sep | @ NY Cosmos | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Union Omaha | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Aug | vs Chattanooga Red Wolves | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Aug | @ Charlotte Independence | 1–3 | L |
Greenville Triumph – last 6
| 16 Sep | vs Corpus Christi | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Fort Wayne | 1–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Chattanooga Red Wolves | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | vs Naples | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | @ Spokane Velocity | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs One Knoxville | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 9 Jul 2026 | Greenville Triumph v Sarasota Paradise | 0–0 |
USL League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Independence | 32 | +28 | 66 |
| 2 |  Union Omaha | 32 | +20 | 62 |
| 3 |  Boise | 32 | +10 | 58 |
| 4 |  Forward Madison | 32 | +24 | 56 |
| 5 |  Spokane Velocity | 32 | +6 | 54 |
| 6 |  One Knoxville | 32 | +16 | 54 |
| 7 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 32 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Naples | 32 | -7 | 46 |
| 9 |  Fort Wayne | 32 | +5 | 45 |
| 10 |  Westchester SC | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 11 |  Sarasota Paradise | 32 | -2 | 40 |
| 12 |  Corpus Christi | 32 | -15 | 37 |
| 13 |  Alta | 32 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 32 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 |  Greenville Triumph | 32 | -23 | 30 |
| 16 |  NY Cosmos | 32 | -26 | 27 |
| 17 |  Richmond Kickers | 32 | -28 | 26 |
More USL League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise vs Greenville Triumph?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Greenville Triumph?
On our numbers Sarasota Paradise have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Greenville Triumph 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sarasota Paradise vs Greenville Triumph?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Sarasota Paradise vs Greenville Triumph?
Sarasota Paradise vs Greenville Triumph (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Premier Sports Campus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.