Value bet: One Knoxville to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOne Knoxville to win ✓38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.39
Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville preview and prediction
The match
Spokane Velocity host One Knoxville in the USL League One on Sunday 21 June, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at One Spokane Stadium. Spokane Velocity are 5th with 54 points from 32 games (in the top half), while One Knoxville sit 6th on 54 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Spokane Velocity's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Alta 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
One Knoxville's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat NY Cosmos 3–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Spokane Velocity and 1.2 for One Knoxville. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spokane Velocity 37%, draw 24%, One Knoxville 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Value angle: One Knoxville to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Spokane Velocity 1–1 One Knoxville. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spokane Velocity37%fair 2.67 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
One Knoxville38%fair 2.62 · @3.10
2.45Expected goals
1.22Spokane Velocity xG
1.23One Knoxville xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Spokane Velocity 1.2 – 1.2 One Knoxville expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
One Knoxville to win✓
38%
2.62
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT One Knoxville / FT One Knoxville✓
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.39
–
Form
Spokane Velocity – last 6
LWLWWD
14 Jun
@ Alta
0–1
L
7 Jun
vs Boise
2–1
W
30 May
@ Portland Hearts of Pine
1–2
L
25 May
vs Sarasota Paradise
1–0
W
18 May
vs Las Vegas Lights
1–0
W
3 May
@ Corpus Christi
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
One Knoxville – last 6
WDWDLL
14 Jun
vs NY Cosmos
3–1
W
11 Jun
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–1
D
29 May
vs Greenville Triumph
2–0
W
24 May
@ Corpus Christi
2–2
D
17 May
vs San Antonio
0–1
L
14 May
vs Union Omaha
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spokane Velocity and One Knoxville.
What is the prediction for Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville?
On our numbers Spokane Velocity have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and One Knoxville 38%.
How many goals will there be in Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville?
Our predicted score is Spokane Velocity 1–1 One Knoxville, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville?
Spokane Velocity vs One Knoxville (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at One Spokane Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
