Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 57% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChattanooga Red Wolves to win ✓62% · @1.67
Double chanceChattanooga Red Wolves or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.48
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Naples preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees Chattanooga Red Wolves take on Naples on Sunday 21 June, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at CHI Memorial Stadium. Chattanooga Red Wolves are 7th with 47 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Naples sit 8th on 46 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chattanooga Red Wolves's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Portland Hearts of Pine 2–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Naples's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Charlotte Independence 3–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Chattanooga Red Wolves arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Chattanooga Red Wolves and 0.9 for Naples. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chattanooga Red Wolves 62%, draw 22%, Naples 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.85 – 57% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–0 Naples. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chattanooga Red Wolves62%fair 1.62 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.50
Naples16%fair 6.18 · @4.60
2.79Expected goals
1.92Chattanooga Red Wolves xG
0.87Naples xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Chattanooga Red Wolves 1.9 – 0.9 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chattanooga Red Wolves to win✓
62%
1.62
1.67
Double chance
Chattanooga Red Wolves or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Half-time result
Chattanooga Red Wolves ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chattanooga Red Wolves / FT Chattanooga Red Wolves✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.48
–
Form
Chattanooga Red Wolves – last 6
WDLWLL
13 Jun
@ Portland Hearts of Pine
2–1
W
11 Jun
@ One Knoxville
1–1
D
31 May
vs Charlotte Independence
2–3
L
28 May
vs Richmond Kickers
5–0
W
24 May
@ Union Omaha
0–2
L
3 May
@ Boise
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Naples – last 6
LLLLWL
14 Jun
@ Charlotte Independence
3–4
L
7 Jun
vs Sarasota Paradise
0–2
L
4 Jun
vs Charlotte Independence
1–5
L
31 May
@ Union Omaha
1–2
L
24 May
vs Westchester SC
1–0
W
14 May
@ Boise
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chattanooga Red Wolves and Naples.
What is the prediction for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Naples?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Naples?
On our numbers Chattanooga Red Wolves have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Naples 16%.
How many goals will there be in Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Naples?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Chattanooga Red Wolves 2–0 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Naples?
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Naples (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at CHI Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
